Voter support for Australian government, PM Albanese growing ahead of election: Polls

IANS April 12, 2025 187 views

Australia's upcoming May 3 election is heating up with Labor Party gaining significant momentum in recent polls. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has seen his popularity surge, now leading Coalition leader Peter Dutton in preferred PM rankings. Polls indicate Labor could secure a second consecutive term, which would be a rare achievement not seen since 2004. With a record 98.2% voter enrollment, the election promises high engagement and potential political transformation.

"A record 98.2% of eligible Australians are enrolled to vote" - Australian Electoral Commission
Canberra, April 12: Voter support for Australia's governing Labor Party and Prime Minister (PM) Anthony Albanese is increasing with three weeks to go until the general election, new polls have shown.

Key Points

1

Labor extends lead to 52.5-47.5 in key marginal seat polls

2

Albanese preferred PM over Peter Dutton 48-37%

3

Potential first consecutive election win since 2004

According to the two new polls published on Friday and Saturday, Labor has extended its lead over the opposition Coalition and is set to win a second term in government in the May 3 election.

The first poll -- published on Friday by the Australian branch of UK market research firm YouGov -- found that Labor leads the Coalition 52.5-47.5 on a two-party preferred basis.

It represents Labor's largest lead over the Coalition in a YouGov poll in 18 months and marks a major turnaround from a 51-49 advantage for the opposition recorded late in February.

Forty-eight per cent of respondents to the poll chose Albanese as their preferred PM compared to 37 per cent for Coalition leader Peter Dutton. In February, Albanese led Dutton 42-40 as voters' preferred PM, according to YouGov.

The second poll, which was undertaken by market research firms RedBridge and Accent and published by News Corp Australia newspapers on Saturday, surveyed voters in 20 critical marginal seats on the East Coast and also recorded a 52.5-47.5 lead for Labor.

The same poll in early February recorded a 52-48 lead for the Coalition.

Labor won power in the 2022 election after nine years in opposition with a 52.13-47.87 edge over the Coalition on a two-party basis.

Victory for Labor on May 3 would make Albanese the first leader of either major party to win consecutive elections since 2004.

When Australians cast their votes in the election, they do so on a preferential basis. Every one of the 150 seats that will make up the lower house in the next parliament will be contested by at least four candidates in the election, with some having as many as 13 candidates.

The wide choice for voters means it is rare for any candidate to receive a clear majority of first preference votes. If no candidate receives at least 50 per cent of first preference votes, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and their votes are transferred based on preferences marked by voters.

The process continues until one candidate has a simple majority of votes. Friday's YouGov poll found that 32 per cent of voters intend to vote for Labor as their first preference and 33.5 per cent for the Coalition, Xinhua news agency reported.

The Coalition traditionally performs better than Labor on first preference votes but Labor fares better on preferences -- particularly from the Greens, Australia's third-largest party. Thirteen per cent of respondents to the YouGov poll said they intend to vote for the Greens.

At the 2022 election, Labor received 32.5 per cent of primary votes and the Coalition 35.7 percent, with the Greens at 12.2 per cent.

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) on Friday said that a record 98.2 per cent of eligible Australians are enrolled to vote in the election. It said that the number of enrolled voters has increased by 870,000 since 2022 to over 18 million.

It is compulsory for Australians who have enrolled to vote in the general election.

Reader Comments

S
Sarah K.
Really interesting to see Labor gaining momentum! Albanese seems to be connecting with voters better than Dutton. The preference system always makes our elections so fascinating to watch. 🇦🇺
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Michael T.
I'm not surprised by these numbers. The government has delivered on some key promises, though I wish they'd move faster on climate action. Still better than the alternative though!
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James L.
Respectfully, I think these polls might be overstating Labor's lead. The margin is still tight and three weeks is a long time in politics. Remember what happened in 2019 with the "unlosable election"?
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Amira P.
The Greens at 13% is significant! Shows more Australians care about progressive policies. Hope they can push Labor to be more ambitious if they win again.
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David R.
Compulsory voting means we get a true picture of what Australians want. Unlike some countries where only the most passionate voters turn out. Proud of our system!
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Emma W.
I'm still undecided tbh. Both major parties have good and bad points. Might end up voting Greens and preferencing Labor. Anyone else feeling this way?

We welcome thoughtful discussions from our readers. Please keep comments respectful and on-topic.

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