South Korea: Retailer confidence sinks for Q2 on inflation, uncertainty

IANS April 8, 2025 218 views

South Korean retailers are experiencing a significant downturn in business confidence for the second quarter of 2024. The Korean Chamber of Commerce and Industry reports a continued decline in the retail business survey index, driven by persistent inflation and economic uncertainties. Department stores and discount stores have been hit particularly hard, with their sentiment index dropping from 85 to 73. Despite the challenges, there's a glimmer of hope as 49.8% of businesses expect a market recovery after 2026, and online retailers show a slight improvement in their outlook.

"The slump in the consumer market has persisted as both internal and external negative factors converge." - KCCI Report
Seoul, April 8: South Korean retailers' business sentiment worsened for the second quarter, weighed down by persistent inflation and rising uncertainties both at home and abroad, data showed on Tuesday.

Key Points

1

Retail business survey index falls to 75 in Q2

2

Department and discount stores see sharp sentiment decline

3

49.8% expect market recovery after 2026

4

Online retail shows slight resilience

The Korean Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KCCI) said its retail business survey index (RBSI) stood at 75 for the April-June period, down from 77 in the previous quarter.

The RBSI is based on a poll of 500 retail businesses across the nation. A reading below 100 means that pessimists outnumber optimists, reports Yonhap news agency.

The index has been on a constant decline since the second quarter of last year, highlighting continued pessimism in the retail sector for over a year.

"The decline in business sentiment is due to uncertainties over U.S. trade policy, high inflation, concerns over an economic slowdown and political unrest," the KCCI said.

"The slump in the consumer market has persisted as both internal and external negative factors converge."

Sentiment across all major retail categories remained below par. Department stores and discount stores saw a sharp drop, with their reading falling from 85 to 73 over the cited period. The index for convenience stores declined to 71 from 73.

However, the index for online retailers rose slightly from 74 to 76, while supermarkets edged up from 76 to 77. The survey also found that 49.8 percent of respondents expect a recovery in the consumer market after 2026.

The Bank of Korea recently lowered its economic growth forecast for 2025 to 1.5 percent, revising it down by 0.4 percentage point from its previous outlook.

Meanwhile, Woori Financial Group said on Tuesday it has prepared a large-scale financial support package totalling 10.2 trillion won ($6.98 billion) to help South Korean businesses weather the fallout from reciprocal tariff measures introduced by the United States.

The group said it will expand its liquidity assistance for export-oriented companies, their suppliers and small businesses by launching the new program worth 7.3 trillion won on top of an existing 2.9 trillion-won support scheme for companies.

Reader Comments

J
James K
This is really concerning. My family runs a small convenience store and we've been feeling the pinch for months. Everything costs more but customers are spending less. Hope that financial support package reaches businesses that really need it.
S
Soo-Min L
Interesting that online retailers are doing slightly better while brick-and-mortar stores struggle. Maybe this is the push more businesses need to strengthen their digital presence? 🤔
H
Hae-Won P
The article mentions political unrest but doesn't elaborate. I wish there was more detail about which specific political factors are affecting business confidence. Otherwise great reporting though!
T
Tae-Yang K
Nearly 50% think recovery won't come until after 2026... that's a long time to hold on. Makes me worried about job security in retail. Stay strong everyone! 💪
M
Min-Ji Y
The US trade policy impact is huge. Our small export business has been struggling with tariffs since last year. That financial package can't come soon enough!
J
Ji-Hoon C
I work in a department store and can confirm - foot traffic is way down while operating costs keep rising. Management keeps talking about "weathering the storm" but how long can this last?

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